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NOAA predicts above-average 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

NOAA says there is an 85% chance of above-normal activity, a 10% chance of near-normal activity, and a 5% chance of below-normal activity. Specifically they predict 17 to 25 named storms with winds of 39 mph or higher. Of those, 8 to 13 could become hurricanes, including 4 to 7 major hurricanes with winds […]

Ida and New Orleans

Everyone should of course rely on official forecasts and advice, but if you are in New Orleans or anywhere near there, you should seriously think about evacuating.

We’re not going to waste a lot of time with fluff and talk, but Ida is a dangerous system so think about evacuation.


“Sally could approach major hurricane strength.”

“Sally could approach major hurricane strength” before landfall.

“Unsurvivable storm surge” – Hurricane Laura

“Unsurvivable storm surge”.

Be safe. Be smart.

But how many people will ignore the warnings and then blame someone else?


1. Unsurvivable storm surge with large and destructive waves will cause catastrophic damage from Sea Rim State Park, Texas, to Intracoastal City, Louisiana, including Calcasieu and Sabine Lakes. This surge could […]

Florida out of the cone

As of 5pm, Florida is out of the cone for Isaias. So all the models have been wrong for a week.

Good news for Florida.

Now the rest of the US East Coast should monitor closely.

Does Global Warming impact hurricanes?

Perspective on Global WarmingGlobal Warming and HurricanesDr. William M. Gray’s comments on tropical cyclone numbers, duration and intensity(Fall 2005, pdf).Dr. William M. Gray’s comments on destructiveness (Fall 2005, pdf).Global Warming didn’t cause Katrina (or Wilma)


2010 Hurricane Names

Alex Bonnie Colin Danielle Earl Fiona Gaston Hermine Igor Julia Karl Lisa Matthew Nicole Otto Paula Richard Shary Tomas Virginie Walter

2011 Hurricane Names

Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Don, Emily, Franklin, Gert, Harvey, Irene, Jose, Katia, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Philippe, Rina, Sean, Tammy, Vince, Whitney

2009 Hurricane Names

Ana Bill Claudette Danny Erika Fred Grace Henri Ida Joaquin Kate Larry Mindy Nicholas Odette Peter Rose Sam Teresa Victor Wanda

2013 Hurricane Names

Andrea Barry Chantal Dean Erin Felix Gabrielle Humberto Ingrid Jerry Karen Lorenzo Melissa Noel Olga Pablo Rebekah Sebastien Tanya Van Wendy