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NOAA predicts above-average 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season

NOAA says there is an 85% chance of above-normal activity, a 10% chance of near-normal activity, and a 5% chance of below-normal activity. Specifically they predict 17 to 25 named storms with winds of 39 mph or higher. Of those, 8 to 13 could become hurricanes, including 4 to 7 major hurricanes with winds of 111 mph or higher. They have 70 percent confidence in the category projections.

I would like to see FOIA requests for much of this. And analysis as to the accuracy of prior years. I suspect that like much of the government they are hiding them by using back channel communication. See e.g.

The “experts” have burned their trust and sadly they all pay the price.

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