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2014 Hurricane Names


See below for the overview of all current storms:

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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 221121
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 22 Sep 2014 11:41:53 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221141
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Polo, located a few hundred miles
west of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located several hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico,
have increased and become more concentrated overnight.
Environmental conditions are generally conducive for development,
and a a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few
days while it moves west-northwestward at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain



Summary for Tropical Depression POLO (EP2/EP172014)- ...POLO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 2:00 AM PDT Mon Sep 22 the center of POLO was located near 22.5, -113.8 with movement W at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression POLO Public Advisory Number 25-Issued at 200 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2014

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 220831
TCPEP2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2014

...POLO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.5N 113.8W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.  A
SLOWER WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO
THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND POLO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY POLO AFFECTING THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. PLEASE CONSULT
PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




Tropical Depression POLO Forecast Advisory Number 25-Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2014

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 220831
TCMEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 113.8W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 113.8W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 113.5W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.4N 114.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 22.2N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.8N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 21.2N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 20.0N 118.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 113.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





Tropical Depression POLO Forecast Discussion Number 25-Issued at 200 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2014

000
WTPZ42 KNHC 220832
TCDEP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO DISCUSSION NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014
200 AM PDT MON SEP 22 2014

Polo has been devoid of significant deep convection for about 10
hours now.  Satellite images show that the cyclone consists of a
tight swirl of low-level clouds with a few deeper clouds located
over 100 n mi west of the center near the mid-level remnants.
The initial wind speed is lowered to 30 kt, following the latest
Dvorak classifications, making Polo a tropical depression.
Continued weakening is expected while the cyclone remains in an
environment of strong shear, dry air, and over relatively cool
waters.  If deep convection does not return soon, Polo will likely
be declared a remnant low later today.  The remnant low is forecast
to dissipate in 3 to 4 days.

The depression has moved west-southwestward during the past few
hours, but a longer term motion is 270/7.  A slower westward motion
is expected today, followed by a turn to the southwest on Tuesday
while the shallow system is steered by a low-level ridge to its
northwest.  The NHC track forecast is south of the previous one,
mainly to account for the initial position, and is near the
multi-model consensus TVCE.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/0900Z 22.5N 113.8W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  22/1800Z 22.4N 114.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  23/0600Z 22.2N 115.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  23/1800Z 21.8N 116.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  24/0600Z 21.2N 117.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  25/0600Z 20.0N 118.3W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi




Tropical Depression POLO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 25-Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2014

000
FOPZ12 KNHC 220831
PWSEP2
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25        
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172014               
0900 UTC MON SEP 22 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               



Tropical Depression POLO Graphics- Tropical Depression POLO 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 22 Sep 2014 08:33:03 GMT

Tropical Depression POLO 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 22 Sep 2014 09:04:46 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

No tropical cyclones are expected through late Tuesday night.
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