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2017 Hurricane Names


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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 281114
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Jun 2017 11:34:37 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 281134
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Jun 28 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dora, located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form late this week a
few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Some
gradual development of this system is possible by early next week
while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven


Summary for Tropical Storm Dora (EP4/EP042017)- ...DORA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 the center of Dora was located near 19.8, -113.1 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Dora Public Advisory Number 14-Issued at 300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017

000
WTPZ34 KNHC 280835
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Dora Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042017
300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017

...DORA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.8N 113.1W
ABOUT 295 MI...480 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dora was
located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 113.1 West. Dora is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Dora is
expected to degenerate to a remnant low later today.  The remnant
low should then dissipate by Thursday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
to the north of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells affecting the southwestern coast of the Baja
California peninsula will gradually subside today but could still
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



Tropical Storm Dora Forecast Advisory Number 14-Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 280835
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.1W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.1W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.4N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.2N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N 117.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 


Tropical Storm Dora Forecast Discussion Number 14-Issued at 300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017

000
WTPZ44 KNHC 280836
TCDEP4

Tropical Storm Dora Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042017
300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Microwave images indicate that Dora stopped producing deep
convection soon after 0000 UTC, and all cloud tops warmed above -50C
by 0245 UTC.  The circulation now consists of a swirl of low- to
mid-level clouds, and the initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt
based on a blend of the latest subjective and objective Dvorak
estimates.  Deep convection is unlikely to return due to cold sea
surface temperatures, and Dora is forecast to degenerate to a
remnant low later this morning or this afternoon.

Dora has slowed down with an initial motion estimate of 285/9 kt.
A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should
maintain Dora on a similar west-northwestward trajectory for the
next day or two.  Based on the latest surface fields from the GFS
and ECMWF models, the remnant low is forecast to dissipate by 48
hours.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  28/0900Z 19.8N 113.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  28/1800Z 20.4N 114.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  29/0600Z 21.2N 116.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  29/1800Z 21.6N 117.7W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  30/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg



Tropical Storm Dora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14-Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017

000
FOPZ14 KNHC 280835
PWSEP4
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017               
0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 115W       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     


Tropical Storm Dora Graphics- Tropical Storm Dora 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 28 Jun 2017 08:41:14 GMT

Tropical Storm Dora 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 28 Jun 2017 09:22:02 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.


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