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2015 Hurricane Names


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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 291157
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 29 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave accompanied by a weak low pressure system is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred
miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for
some slow development through the weekend while the disturbance
moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

$$
Forecaster Stewart


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 29 Jul 2015 15:07:40 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 291145
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eight-E, located about midway between the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula and the Hawaiian Islands.

A low-latitude area of low pressure centered about 1300 miles
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Recent
satellite data indicate that the circulation is becoming better
defined, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at
about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg


Summary for Tropical Depression EIGHT-E (EP3/EP082015)- ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO... As of 8:00 AM PDT Wed Jul 29 the center of EIGHT-E was located near 17.0, -133.6 with movement W at 13 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Public Advisory Number 8-Issued at 800 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 291436
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
800 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 133.6W
ABOUT 1420 MI...2285 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 1590 MI...2555 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight-E
was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 133.6 West.  The
depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast through tonight, but the
depression is expected to dissipate by Friday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg



Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Advisory Number 8-Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2015

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 291436
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.0W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.9N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.8N 138.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.6N 141.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 133.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion Number 8-Issued at 800 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 291437
TCDEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
800 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

A recent AMSR2 microwave pass revealed that the depression still
has a well-defined circulation and center, but the deep convection
has become less organized since yesterday.  The intensity remains at
30 kt based on Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB.  Vertical shear
is out of the north-northwest at 10-15 kt, which is lower than
yesterday, but the depression has been moving into an increasingly
drier air mass.  Therefore, the system is forecast to weaken and
degenerate into a trough by 48 hours, following the evolution
depicted in the global models.

The initial motion is 270/11 kt, with the depression being steered
westward by the low-level ridge to its north.  A westward motion
with some acceleration should occur during the next 36 hours before
the depression dissipates, and the updated NHC track forecast is
shifted only slightly southward to follow the GFS-ECMWF consensus.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/1500Z 17.0N 133.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  30/0000Z 16.9N 135.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  30/1200Z 16.8N 138.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  31/0000Z 16.6N 141.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
 48H  31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg



Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8-Issued at 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2015

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 291436
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015               
1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     


Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Graphics- Tropical Depression EIGHT-E 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 29 Jul 2015 14:37:55 GMT

Tropical Depression EIGHT-E 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 29 Jul 2015 15:03:45 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida is issuing advisories on tropical depression Eight-E, located about 1460 miles east of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header tcpep3 and WMO header wtpz33 KNHC. The most recent forecast from the National Hurricane Center has Eight-E crossing 140°W into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility Thursday morning.

2. Scattered thunderstorms are associated with a low pressure system about 880 miles southeast of Hilo Hawaii. Because of vertical wind shear over the system, only limited development is expected during the next two days as this low moves west at 10 to 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 20 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Thursday night.
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