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2016 Hurricane Names


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The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.

The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.

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Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 252329
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gaston, located about 1100 miles east-northeast of the
Leeward Islands.

A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
moving westward at 15 to 20 mph through the southeastern Bahamas.
This system has become less organized since yesterday, with only
minimal associated shower activity, and the chances for development
during the next 2 days have decreased. Overall, environmental
conditions are not expected to be as conducive for development of
this system as anticipated earlier this week. However, upper-level
winds could become a little more favorable over the weekend or early
next week when the system is expected to be near the Florida Keys or
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Regardless of development, heavy rains, with the potential to
cause flash floods and mudslides, are likely over Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba through tomorrow. This system could produce gusty
winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions of the Bahamas during
the next day or two. Interests in South Florida and the Florida Keys
should monitor the progress of this disturbance since it is possible
that some impacts, such as heavy rains and gusty winds, will occur
beginning this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

$$
Forecaster Blake



Summary for Tropical Storm GASTON (AT2/AL072016)- ...GASTON WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE BUT FORECAST TO RE-STRENGTHEN BY SATURDAY... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Aug 25 the center of GASTON was located near 21.6, -45.5 with movement NW at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Tropical Storm GASTON Public Advisory Number 13-Issued at 500 PM AST THU AUG 25 2016


000
WTNT32 KNHC 252038
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
500 PM AST THU AUG 25 2016

...GASTON WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE BUT FORECAST TO RE-STRENGTHEN
BY SATURDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 45.5W
ABOUT 1105 MI...1780 KM ENE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gaston was
located near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 45.5 West. Gaston is
moving toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Friday.  A turn toward the
west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed are expected by
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected tonight or Friday
but re-strengthening is anticipated to begin Friday night, and
Gaston is forecast to become a hurricane again on Saturday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown




Tropical Storm GASTON Forecast Advisory Number 13-Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016

000
WTNT22 KNHC 252037
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM GASTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  45.5W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  30SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  45.5W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  45.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 23.4N  47.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 25.5N  49.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  40SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 27.0N  52.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  50SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.1N  54.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.2N  57.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 31.8N  57.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 34.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  45.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 



Tropical Storm GASTON Forecast Discussion Number 13-Issued at 500 PM AST THU AUG 25 2016

000
WTNT42 KNHC 252038
TCDAT2

TROPICAL STORM GASTON DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016
500 PM AST THU AUG 25 2016

Strong southwesterly shear continues to take a toll on Gaston.  The
cloud pattern has become more assymetric with all of the deep
core convection located north and east of the center.  This was
confirmed by a recent SSMIS microwave overpass that showed
significant southwest to northeast tilt between the low- and
mid-level centers.  Objective Dvorak T-numbers have decreased and
subjective intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB support an initial
wind speed of 55 kt.  A large upper-level low near 23N 54W that is
moving southwestward is expected to continue to produce an
unfavorable upper-level environment over Gaston for another 12 to
18 hours.  Some additional weakening is possible tonight, but the
official NHC forecast shows little change in strength through
Friday.  After that time, Gaston should be moving around the
northern portion of the upper-low and into a more favarable
upper-level wind pattern.  This combined with warm SSTs and a moist
atmosphere should allow Gaston to re-strengthen over the weekend
and once again become a hurricane.  The updated NHC intensity
forecast is slightly above the previous advisory after 36 hours, and
is in good agreement with the latest SHIPS guidance.

The initial motion remains northwestward at 15 kt.  Gaston should
move northwestward during the next day or so around a mid-level
ridge over the east-central Atlantic.  In 36 to 48 hours, a ridge is
forecast to build to the north of Gaston, which should cause the
cyclone to turn west-northwestward.  Early next week, the ridge
is forecast to weaken and Gaston is expected to turn northward,
then recurve into the mid-latitude westerlies in 4 to 5 days.  The
track guidance is in good agreement during the first 48 hours, but
there is some spread as to what longitude recurvature begins.  The
ECMWF shows a slower motion near the end of the forecast period and
a track along the eastern side of the guidance envelope, while the
GFS and GFS ensemble mean are along the western edge.  The NHC track
foreast remains near the middle of the guidance envelope and is in
closest agreement with UKMET, FSSE, and multi-model consensus.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 21.6N  45.5W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  26/0600Z 23.4N  47.1W   55 KT  65 MPH
 24H  26/1800Z 25.5N  49.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
 36H  27/0600Z 27.0N  52.3W   60 KT  70 MPH
 48H  27/1800Z 28.1N  54.7W   70 KT  80 MPH
 72H  28/1800Z 30.2N  57.0W   85 KT 100 MPH
 96H  29/1800Z 31.8N  57.7W   95 KT 110 MPH
120H  30/1800Z 34.0N  55.0W   95 KT 110 MPH

$$
Forecaster Brown




Tropical Storm GASTON Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13-Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016

000
FONT12 KNHC 252038
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM GASTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072016               
2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    



Tropical Storm GASTON Graphics- Tropical Storm GASTON 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Aug 2016 20:41:02 GMT

Tropical Storm GASTON 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Aug 2016 21:05:37 GMT


Hurricane Advisory 1
Hurricane Advisory 2
Hurricane Advisory 3
Hurricane Advisory 4
Hurricane Advisory 5

Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 252330
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU AUG 25 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Lester, located several hundred miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula.

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in
association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1650
miles east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a
tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the
low moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure could form early next week several hundred
miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
Peninsula. Some subsequent development of this system is possible
as it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent


$$
Forecaster Blake



Summary for Tropical Storm LESTER (EP3/EP132016)- ...LESTER A LITTLE STRONGER... As of 3:00 PM MDT Thu Aug 25 the center of LESTER was located near 16.9, -113.4 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.

Tropical Storm LESTER Public Advisory Number 5-Issued at 300 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2016

000
WTPZ33 KNHC 252036
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LESTER ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
300 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2016

...LESTER A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 113.4W
ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lester was
located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 113.4 West.  Lester is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A gradual
turn toward the west at a slightly slower forward speed is expected
over the next 48 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and Lester is likely to become a hurricane on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch




Tropical Storm LESTER Forecast Advisory Number 5-Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 252036
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 113.4W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 113.4W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 113.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.3N 114.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.7N 115.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.0N 118.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 128.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 18.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 113.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 



Tropical Storm LESTER Forecast Discussion Number 5-Issued at 300 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2016

000
WTPZ43 KNHC 252038
TCDEP3

TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
300 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2016

The cloud pattern of Lester has become only slightly better
organized than earlier today.  Taking the mean of Dvorak estimates
from TAFB and SAB leads to a current intensity estimate of 50 kt.
An upper-level cyclonic shear axis just to the northwest of the
storm is clearly evident in water vapor imagery, and this feature is
somewhat impeding Lester's outflow to the north.  Overall,
however, the atmospheric and oceanic environment should be conducive
for strengthening with low shear and a sufficiently warm ocean
during the next several days.  The NHC intensity forecast shows
Lester becoming a hurricane within 24 hours, with additional
intensification after that time frame.  Late in the forecast
period, marginal SSTs should halt the strengthening process.  The
official intensity forecast is fairly close to the multi-model
consensus, IVCN.

The storm is slowing down a bit and the initial motion is about
295/9.  A slight weakness in the subtropical ridge to the north of
Lester is expected to cause some further deceleration during the
next day or two.  Later in the forecast period, a stronger ridge
should induce a westward motion at a faster forward speed.  The
official track forecast is similar to the previous one and about in
the middle of the dynamical guidance suite.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 16.9N 113.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  26/0600Z 17.3N 114.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 24H  26/1800Z 17.7N 115.4W   65 KT  75 MPH
 36H  27/0600Z 18.0N 117.0W   70 KT  80 MPH
 48H  27/1800Z 18.0N 118.6W   75 KT  85 MPH
 72H  28/1800Z 18.0N 123.0W   80 KT  90 MPH
 96H  29/1800Z 18.0N 128.5W   80 KT  90 MPH
120H  30/1800Z 18.0N 133.5W   75 KT  85 MPH

$$
Forecaster Pasch




Tropical Storm LESTER Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5-Issued at 2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016

000
FOPZ13 KNHC 252037
PWSEP3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM LESTER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016               
2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESTER WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  9  44(53)   4(57)   1(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
ISLA CLARION   50  1  12(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
ISLA CLARION   64  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 115W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
20N 115W       34  X   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
15N 120W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)  10(16)   1(17)   X(17)
 
20N 120W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)  16(19)  23(42)   X(42)   X(42)
20N 120W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  12(21)   1(22)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  22(42)   1(43)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   1(15)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)
 
15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  11(24)
15N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
15N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)  14(36)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    



Tropical Storm LESTER Graphics- Tropical Storm LESTER 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 25 Aug 2016 20:37:36 GMT

Tropical Storm LESTER 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 25 Aug 2016 21:06:12 GMT

CPHC

Activity in the Central Pacific Hurricane basin

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook- For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180:

No tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday afternoon.



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