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"Run from the water; hide from the wind."
The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.
The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
ABNT20 KNHC 291157
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 29 2015
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave accompanied by a weak low pressure system is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred
miles southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are expected to be at least marginally conducive for
some slow development through the weekend while the disturbance
moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 29 Jul 2015 15:07:40 GMT
000 WTPZ33 KNHC 291436 TCPEP3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 800 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORECAST TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO... SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 133.6W ABOUT 1420 MI...2285 KM E OF HILO HAWAII ABOUT 1590 MI...2555 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eight-E was located near latitude 17.0 North, longitude 133.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through tonight, but the depression is expected to dissipate by Friday morning. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Berg
000 WTPZ23 KNHC 291436 TCMEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2015 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.6W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.6W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 133.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.9N 135.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.8N 138.3W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 16.6N 141.2W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 133.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 291437 TCDEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 800 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 A recent AMSR2 microwave pass revealed that the depression still has a well-defined circulation and center, but the deep convection has become less organized since yesterday. The intensity remains at 30 kt based on Dvorak estimates from TAFB and SAB. Vertical shear is out of the north-northwest at 10-15 kt, which is lower than yesterday, but the depression has been moving into an increasingly drier air mass. Therefore, the system is forecast to weaken and degenerate into a trough by 48 hours, following the evolution depicted in the global models. The initial motion is 270/11 kt, with the depression being steered westward by the low-level ridge to its north. A westward motion with some acceleration should occur during the next 36 hours before the depression dissipates, and the updated NHC track forecast is shifted only slightly southward to follow the GFS-ECMWF consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/1500Z 17.0N 133.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 30/0000Z 16.9N 135.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 30/1200Z 16.8N 138.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 31/0000Z 16.6N 141.2W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
000 FOPZ13 KNHC 291436 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 1500 UTC WED JUL 29 2015 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BERG
1. The National Hurricane Center in Miami Florida is issuing advisories on tropical depression Eight-E, located about 1460 miles east of Hilo Hawaii, under AWIPS header tcpep3 and WMO header wtpz33 KNHC. The most recent forecast from the National Hurricane Center has Eight-E crossing 140°W into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center area of responsibility Thursday morning.
2. Scattered thunderstorms are associated with a low pressure system about 880 miles southeast of Hilo Hawaii. Because of vertical wind shear over the system, only limited development is expected during the next two days as this low moves west at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 20 percent.
Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Thursday night. Since 1994 Hurricane.com has been providing tropical cyclone related information for the Atlantic and Pacific basins. Our philosophy has been to provide timely, relevant, and useful information in a format that provides the most information in the least bandwidth intensive format.