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    2019 Hurricane Names

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    The Atlantic Hurricane season started on June 1.
    The Pacific Hurricane season started on May 15.


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    Atlantic Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information (Eastern Pacific below)


    NHC Atlantic

    Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

    Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 232311
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Disorganized cloudiness and showers located over the northwestern
    Gulf of Mexico are associated with a frontal boundary. A
    non-tropical low could form along this boundary late Wednesday or
    Thursday, and environmental conditions could support some
    subtropical or tropical development late this week while the
    disturbance meanders near the northern Gulf Coast.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi


    There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 23 Jul 2019 23:51:46 GMT


    Hurricane Advisory 1
    Hurricane Advisory 2
    Hurricane Advisory 3
    Hurricane Advisory 4
    Hurricane Advisory 5

    Pacific Hurricane and Tropical Storm Information


    NHC Eastern North Pacific

    Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

    Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook-
    000
    ABPZ20 KNHC 232319
    TWOEP

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    500 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2019

    For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Storm Dalila, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
    southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

    A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the
    southwestern coast of Mexico continues to produce disorganized
    showers and cloudiness. Some gradual development of this system is
    possible later this week while the system moves westward at around
    15 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles
    south of the coast of southern Mexico by the end of the week.
    Environmental conditions are expected to support gradual
    development of the system thereafter while it moves generally
    westward at 15 to 20 mph.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Zelinsky


    Summary for Tropical Storm Dalila (EP5/EP052019)- ...DALILA HEADING TOWARD COOLER WATERS... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 the center of Dalila was located near 19.1, -118.2 with movement NW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

    Tropical Storm Dalila Public Advisory Number 7-Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2019
    
    000
    WTPZ35 KNHC 232031
    TCPEP5
    
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Dalila Advisory Number   7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052019
    200 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2019
    
    ...DALILA HEADING TOWARD COOLER WATERS...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.1N 118.2W
    ABOUT 595 MI...960 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dalila was
    located near latitude 19.1 North, longitude 118.2 West. Dalila is
    moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the
    west-northwest is forecast on Wednesday and this motion should
    continue through Thursday night.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Dalila
    is forecast to become a tropical depression later tonight, and
    degenerate into a remnant low by Wednesday night.
    
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
    from the center.
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT.
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    


    Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Advisory Number 7-Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019
    
    000
    WTPZ25 KNHC 232030
    TCMEP5
    
    TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052019
    2100 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019
    
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 118.2W AT 23/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   7 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
    34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
    12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 118.2W AT 23/2100Z
    AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 118.0W
    
    FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 19.9N 118.9W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 20.7N 120.0W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 21.3N 121.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.8N 122.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N 118.2W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    


    Tropical Storm Dalila Forecast Discussion Number 7-Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2019
    
    612 
    WTPZ45 KNHC 232032
    TCDEP5
    
    Tropical Storm Dalila Discussion Number   7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP052019
    200 PM PDT Tue Jul 23 2019
    
    Dalila has become less organized since the previous advisory.
    Northerly shear and cooler waters has caused the primary
    convective area to decrease in coverage and become more separated
    from the surface circulation.  An ASCAT overpass from around midday
    sampled the southeastern portion of the circulation and detected
    35 to 40 kt winds, which suggests Dalila could have been
    slightly stronger than analyzed this morning.  Based on the ASCAT
    and the recent degradation of the convective organization, the
    initial intensity is set at 35 kt for this advisory.
    
    Dalila is moving northwestward or 325/7 kt.  The cyclone is
    currently moving around the southwestern portion of a mid-level
    ridge over the southwestern United States.  As Dalila weakens and
    becomes a more vertically shallow system during the next 12 to 24
    hours, it should turn west-northwestward to westward within the
    low-level steering flow.  The latest guidance envelope is not much
    different from the previous cycle, and the NHC track forecast is
    essentially an update of the previous advisory.
    
    Dalila is currently crossing the 26C isotherm and the northerly
    shear is not forecast to abate.  As a result, gradual weakening is
    anticipated.  As the cyclone moves over even cooler SSTs and into a
    more stable air mass during the next 24 hours, the system should
    lose its remaining deep convection and become a post-tropical
    remnant low in 24 to 36 hours.  The intensity guidance is in good
    agreement, and the updated NHC intensity forecast is close to the
    model consensus.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  23/2100Z 19.1N 118.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
     12H  24/0600Z 19.9N 118.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  24/1800Z 20.7N 120.0W   30 KT  35 MPH
     36H  25/0600Z 21.3N 121.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  25/1800Z 21.8N 122.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
    


    Tropical Storm Dalila Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7-Issued at 2100 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019
    
    000
    FOPZ15 KNHC 232031
    PWSEP5
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7           
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052019               
    2100 UTC TUE JUL 23 2019                                            
                                                                        
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
    LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
    WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    20N 120W       34  2  26(28)   3(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
    20N 120W       50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
    


    Tropical Storm Dalila Graphics- Tropical Storm Dalila 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 23 Jul 2019 20:33:20 GMT

    Tropical Storm Dalila 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 23 Jul 2019 21:22:08 GMT
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