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Hurricane.com - Advisory


Expires:No;;552820
WTPZ35 KNHC 282031
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Selma Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202017
400 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

...SELMA DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA...
...STILL EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAINS AND FLASH FLOODS
THROUGH SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.3N 88.8W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM NNE OF SAN SALVADOR EL SALVADOR
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Selma
was located near latitude 14.3 North, longitude 88.8 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northeast near 5
mph (7 km/h), and this motion should continue until dissipation
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Dissipation is expected tonight.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Selma is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
2 to 5 inches over El Salvador, southern Guatemala, and southern
Honduras through Sunday.  This rainfall could cause isolated flash
floods, especially in mountainous terrain.

WIND:  Gusty winds are likely to continue over El Salvador
today, but are expected to diminish by tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Selma will continue to affect portions of
the coasts of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala
through tonight. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions today.  Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Roberts



 

Expires:No;;552867
WTPZ45 KNHC 282032
TCDEP5

Post-Tropical Cyclone Selma Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP202017
400 PM CDT Sat Oct 28 2017

Visible satellite imagery, radar data, and surface observations
indicate that Selma has degenerated to a poorly-defined remnant low
near the border of El Salvador and Honduras, and this will be the
last advisory.  Weakening will continue, and the cyclone is expected
to dissipate over the Sierra Madre Mountains tonight.

Although Selma has weakened to remnant low pressure area, heavy
rainfall of 2 to 5 inches remains the primary threat and could
cause flash floods, especially in areas of higher terrain of El
Salvador, Guatemala, and southern Honduras.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  28/2100Z 14.3N  88.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  29/0600...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Roberts



 

    

More information

Expires:No;;552809
WTPZ25 KNHC 282031
TCMEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SELMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202017
2100 UTC SAT OCT 28 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  88.8W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  88.8W AT 28/2100Z...INLAND
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  88.9W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  88.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




 

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