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Hurricane.com - Advisory

Expires:No;;162056
WTPZ33 KNHC 131432
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Calvin Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032017
1000 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017

...CALVIN DISSIPATES BUT POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 96.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Calvin were located near
latitude 16.5 North, longitude 96.5 West. The remnants are moving
toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h) and this motion is expected
to continue today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Calvin is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 6 to 12 inches across the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca,
Guerrero, and Veracruz, with possible isolated maximum amounts
of 20 inches. Calvin is also forecast to produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in the Mexican states of Tabasco,
Morelos, Mexico, and Michoaca, as well as in Guatemala. These
rains are expected to produce life-threatening flash floods
and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Calvin.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



 

Expires:No;;162081
WTPZ43 KNHC 131432
TCDEP3

Remnants Of Calvin Discussion Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP032017
1000 AM CDT Tue Jun 13 2017

Early morning visible satellite images and surface observations
confirm that the surface circulation of Calvin has dissipated over
the rugged terrain of southern Mexico, and therefore this is the
last NHC advisory on Calvin. Satellite images also show a fairly
large convective area located a couple of hundred miles west of
where Calvin dissipated. This feature is moving quickly westward and
appears to be associated with the mid-level remnants of the tropical
cyclone.

Even though Calvin has dissipated, its remnants are expected to
produce additional heavy rainfall over portions of southern Mexico
for another day or so. These rains are likely to produce
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  13/1500Z 16.5N  96.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



 

    

More information

Expires:No;;162038
WTPZ23 KNHC 131431
TCMEP3

REMNANTS OF CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032017
1500 UTC TUE JUN 13 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  96.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  96.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  96.3W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  96.5W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




 

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