Hurricane.com - Advisory

Expires:No;;540384
WTPZ33 KNHC 040230
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 03 2009
 
...OLAF DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...THIS IS THE LAST
ADVISORY...
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANT LOW WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE LOW IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE TOMORROW.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS
OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SINALOA...DURANGO AND
CHIHUAHUA IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.
 
...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...24.1N 112.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST OR 85 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH  SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 


 

Expires:No;;540385
WTPZ43 KNHC 040230
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
800 PM PDT SAT OCT 03 2009
 
OLAF HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW A REMNANT LOW. THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A
TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS APPROACHING THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA. MOST OF THE CLOUDINESS AND RAIN HAVE MOVED RAPIDLY
TO THE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CENTER AND ARE ALREADY
OVER MAINLAND MEXICO. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO FURTHER WEAKEN OVER THE
TERRAIN OF BAJA CALIFORNIA BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
GUSTY WINDS.
THE REMNANT LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST OR 085 DEGREES AT 10 KNOTS
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. 
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF OLAF WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON OLAF. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO
HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      04/0300Z 24.1N 112.3W    25 KT
 12HR VT     04/1200Z 24.5N 110.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     05/0000Z 25.5N 109.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 


 

    

More information

Expires:No;;540351
WTPZ23 KNHC 040229
TCMEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLAF FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP182009
0300 UTC SUN OCT 04 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 112.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 112.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 112.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 24.5N 110.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.5N 109.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 112.3W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT
LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA