Hurricane



 

 
 
 
 
 

Hurricane.com - Advisory

Expires:No;;193935
WTPZ33 KNHC 231432
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Advisory Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018

...VICENTE DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW WHILE MOVING INLAND OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF MICHOACAN...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 102.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Vicente was located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 102.4 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near
12 mph (19 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue
today, bringing the system farther inland over Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts.  The system is expected to dissipate later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Vicente's remnants are expected to produce 3 to 6
inches of rain with local amounts to 10 inches through today over
portions of Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco in Mexico.
This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides within mountainous terrain.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Pasch



 

Expires:No;;193938
WTPZ43 KNHC 231433
TCDEP3

Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicente Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP232018
1000 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018

Satellite imagery indicates that Vicente crossed the coast of the
Mexican state of Michoacan a little while ago, and is now inland.
The system, if in fact it still has a center, lacks sufficient
organized deep convection to be considered a tropical cyclone.
Therefore Vicente has become a post-tropical remnant low, and
this is the last advisory on this system.

The motion is around 330/10 kt.  A 12-hour forecast point is shown
for continuity, but the cyclone will probably have dissipated by
that time.  Vicente's remnants, along with southwesterly flow
around the larger circulation of Hurricane Willa, will probably
continue to produce locally heavy rains over portions of
southwestern Mexico into Wednesday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  23/1500Z 18.4N 102.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 12H  24/0000Z 19.5N 103.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
 24H  24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch



 

    

More information

Expires:No;;193934
WTPZ23 KNHC 231432
TCMEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE VICENTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP232018
1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 102.4W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 102.4W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 102.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 103.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 102.4W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




 

::
About Us | Site Map | Privacy | Contact form | Hurricane.com & Phonebook.com Inc

Copyright �


The hurricane and tropical cyclone information displayed here is based on the latest NOAA, NHC, NASA and other official reports received here and may or may not be the most current forecast available from these official forecasting agencies. We attempt to keep everything current, but remember to use this as a supplement to official sources. This information is for the general public's viewing, but Hurricane.com is not responsible for its ultimate use in the forecasting of tropical cyclones and/or the use of public watches/warnings. Customers should confirm these prognostications with official sources (see our links section) and follow local recommendations. Our advice is to always plan for the worst and get out of the way of a storm! Use of this site constitutes acceptance of these terms. One should always rely on OFFICIAL SOURCES. Email can be delayed or not delivered, servers may not be available 24 hours per day, seven days a week. Official forecasts are available via NOAA Weather Radio, NOAA Weather Wire, NOAAPORT, your local National Weather Service office and more. Use of information is at your own risk and can not be guaranteed.Please note that data and material from the National Hurricane Center and the NOAA is not subject to copyright.