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Hurricane.com - Advisory



Expires:No;;658479
WTPZ31 KNHC 122030
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Sergio Advisory Number  54
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212018
300 PM MDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...SERGIO DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 109.8W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM NE OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the remnants of Sergio were located near
latitude 29.3 North, longitude 109.8 West. The remnants are moving
toward the northeast near 25 mph (41 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue until dissipation tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The remnants of Sergio will likely produce total rain
accumulations of 3 to 5 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 8
inches over northwestern Mexico. This rainfall could cause
life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides in mountainous
terrain.

Moisture from Sergio will affect the United States, with total
rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches from southeast Arizona and
southern New Mexico toward the southern Plains through Saturday.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.

$$
Forecaster Avila



 

Expires:No;;658558
WTPZ41 KNHC 122032
TCDEP1

Remnants Of Sergio Discussion Number  54
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP212018
300 PM MDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The center of Sergio moved over the high terrain of northwestern
Mexico and no longer has a well-defined circulation center. On
this basis, NHC has issued the last advisory on this system. The
remnants of Sergio will move toward the northeast about 22 kt and
could still produce gusty winds in heavy squalls.

Sergio's remnants will continue to produce heavy rains which
could result in life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides
within mountainous terrain in northwestern Mexico. Flash
flooding is also possible across the U.S. Desert
Southwest and the Southern Plains through the weekend.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  12/2100Z 29.3N 109.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...REMNANTS OF SERGIO
 12H  13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila



 

    

More information

Expires:No;;658422
WTPZ21 KNHC 122030
TCMEP1

REMNANTS OF SERGIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  54
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP212018
2100 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 109.8W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 109.8W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 110.7W

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 109.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




 

	

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