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Expires:No;;784921
WTNT35 KNHC 160832
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Fifteen Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152019
500 AM AST Wed Oct 16 2019

...LAST ADVISORY AS DEPRESSION DEGENERATED INTO A TROUGH...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 24.1W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM N OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
None.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the remnants of Fifteen were located near
latitude 17.3 North, longitude 24.1 West. The remnants are moving
toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and that motion
should continue today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
The system should weaken further today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2

$$
Forecaster Blake



 

More information

Expires:No;;370447
WTNT45 KNHC 160833
TCDAT5

Remnants Of Fifteen Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152019
500 AM AST Wed Oct 16 2019

Satellite images indicate that the surface circulation of the
system has become rather elongated north-to-south, with only a few
weak swirls in the circulation envelope, and has degenerated into a
trough of low pressure.  Thus it is no longer a tropical cyclone,
and this is the last advisory.  The winds are lowered to 25 kt,
matching the TAFB classification.

The remnants of the cyclone are expected to move northwestward
during the next few days.  There is a slight chance of
regeneration, as suggested by the ECMWF model and some of its
ensemble members due to a trough interaction, but that's considered
unlikely at this point.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  16/0900Z 17.3N  24.1W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  16/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake



 
	

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