Hurricane.com - Advisory
Expires:No;;222814 WTNT31 KNHC 160238 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 1100 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 ...DEPRESSION BECOMES ILL-DEFINED INLAND OVER HONDURAS... ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA... AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 185 MILES...300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-SOUTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...15.3 N...85.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER RHOME
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Expires:No;;222815 WTNT41 KNHC 160238 TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162008 1100 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008 SURFACE DATA AND CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME ILL-DEFINED OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF HONDURAS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THUS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW...AND THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF HEAVY RAINS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0300Z 15.3N 85.9W 25 KT 12HR VT 16/1200Z 15.1N 86.9W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 17/0000Z 15.0N 88.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 17/1200Z 15.1N 89.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 18/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER RHOME