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Pacific Hurricane Outlook & Discussion

ABPZ20 KNHC 301139

500 AM PDT SAT JUL 30 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a
broad area of low pressure located about 750 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  Environmental
conditions are gradually becoming more conducive for development,
and a tropical depression is likely to form later this weekend or
early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

An area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days
several hundred miles south of Mexico.  Some development of this
system is possible by the middle of next week while it moves
west-northwestward away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Cangialosi


Hurricane & Tropical Storm


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
ABNT20 KNHC 301146

800 AM EDT SAT JUL 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
is moving westward at 25 to 30 mph. While the associated shower
activity has increased since yesterday, any additional development
should be slow to occur due to the rapid motion of the system.
Regardless of development, this system will likely bring showers and
gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands,
Puerto Rico, and the eastern Caribbean Sea beginning later today.
By the middle of next week, the disturbance is expected to be in the
western Caribbean Sea, where conditions could become more conducive
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
and a low pressure system centered a couple of hundred miles
southwest of Cabo Verde has become less organized during the past
24 hours. However, there is still a chance for some development
during the next day or two before the disturbance encounters a less
favorable environment over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Forecaster Beven

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 30 Jul 2016 15:18:46 GMT
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