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Pacific Hurricane Outlook & Discussion

ABPZ20 KNHC 300533
1100 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2014
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Rachel, located several hundred miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.
An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are expected to
gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical
depression is likely to form later this week while the system moves
west-northwestward or northwestward near 10 mph.  Regardless of
tropical cyclone formation, this disturbance should produce locally
heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico that could cause flash
flooding and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Forecaster Pasch


Hurricane & Tropical Storm


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
ABNT20 KNHC 300519

200 AM EDT TUE SEP 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A low pressure area located just to the northwest of Bermuda is
producing a few showers and thunderstorms while it moves slowly
northward. Significant development of this system is not
anticipated due to increasingly strong upper-level winds. The low
should move northward to north-northeastward at a faster
forward speed over the next couple of days, and could still
produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds across Bermuda this
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 30 Sep 2014 09:15:40 GMT
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