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The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a 1-5 rating based on the hurricane's present intensity. This is used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and flooding expected along the coast from a hurricane landfall. Wind speed is the determining factor in the scale, as storm surge values are highly dependent on the slope of the continental shelf in the landfall region. Note that all winds are using the U.S. 1-minute average.

CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE: Winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt or 119-153 kph). Storm surge generally 4-5 feet above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Also, some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. Hurricanes Allison of 1995 and Danny of 1997 were Category One hurricanes at peak intensity.

CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE: Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 kph). Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Hurricane Bonnie of 1998 was a Category Two hurricane when it hit the North Carolina coast, while Hurricane Georges of 1998 was a Category Two Hurricane when it hit the Florida Keys and the Mississippi Gulf Coast.

CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE: Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 kph). Storm surge generally 9-12 feet above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large tress blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering of floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 feet above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Roxanne of 1995 and Fran of 1996 were Category Three hurricanes at landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and in North Carolina, respectively.

CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE: Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 kph). Storm surge generally 13-18 feet above normal. More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences. Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10 km). Hurricane Luis of 1995 was a Category Four hurricane while moving over the Leeward Islands. Hurricanes Felix and Opal of 1995 also reached Category Four status at peak intensity.

CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE: Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 kph). Storm surge generally greater than 18 feet above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 feet above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Hurricane Mitch of 1998 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity over the western Caribbean. Hurricane Gilbert of 1988 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclone of record.

Quoted from the National Hurricane Center , Tropical Prediction Center.

All hurricanes are dangerous, but some are more so than others. The way storm surge, wind, and other factors combine determines the hurricane's destructive power. To make comparisons easier, and to make the predicted hazards of approaching hurricanes clearer, NOAA's hurricane forecasters use a disaster-potential scale, which assigns storms to five categories. Category 1 is a minimum hurricane and category 5 is the worst case. The criteria for each category are shown below.


CATE-   CENTRAL PRESSURE        WINDS      SURGE     EXAMPLE
GORY   (milli-   (inches)       (mph)      (ft)   DAMAGE    STORM
        bars)

1      980 or    less than      74-95      4-5    minimal   Agnes 1972, Ismael 1995, 
       greater   or = 28.94                                 Danny 1997, Gaston 2004, 
                                                            Stan 2005

2      965-979   28.50-28.91    96-110     6-8    moderate  Kate 1965, Fifi 1974, 
                                                            Diana 1990, Erin 1995,
                                                            Juan 2003, Wilma 2005

3      945-964   27.91-28.47    111-130    9-12   extensive Elena 1985, Alicia 1983
                                                            Roxanne 1995, Fran 1996,
                                                            Isidore 2002, Jeanne 2004

4      920-944   27.17-27.88    131-155    13-18  extreme   "Galveston" 1990, 
                                                            Hazel 1954, Iniki 1992, 
                                                            Hugo 1989, Iris 2001,
                                                            Charley 2004

5      less        less          more      more   cata-     "LABOR DAY
       than        than          than      than   strophic  STORM" 1935, Luis 1995,
       920         27.17         155       18               Gilbert 1988, Andrew 1992
                                                          
	   


Hurricane & Tropical Storm

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Advisory


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 232356
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Harvey, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending across the Bahamas,
southern Florida, and the adjacent waters are associated with a
trough of low pressure. Development, if any, of this system
during the next few days should be slow to occur while it drifts
northward over Florida and the adjacent waters. Thereafter, some
tropical or subtropical development is possible over the weekend
while the system moves northeastward over the western Atlantic
before it merges with a front. Regardless of development,
very heavy rain and flooding is possible over portions of the
Florida peninsula during the next few days. Please refer to
products from your local National Weather Service office for more
information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Harvey are issued under WMO header
WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Harvey are issued under WMO header
WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Summary for Tropical Storm Harvey (AT4/AL092017)- ...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS... As of 11:00 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 the center of Harvey was located near 22.0, -92.6 with movement NW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Harvey Public Advisory Number 14-Issued at 1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

000
WTNT34 KNHC 240236
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Harvey Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

...HARVEY DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD AS A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 92.6W
ABOUT 510 MI...815 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SE OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Port Mansfield to High Island

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Port Mansfield to San Luis Pass

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Boca De Catan Mexico to Port Mansfield Texas
* North of San Luis Pass to High Island

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Warnings will likely be required for portions of the watch area
Thursday morning.  In addition, interests in southwestern
Louisiana should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Harvey
was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 92.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). A
track toward the northwest or north-northwest at a faster forward
speed is expected for the next 48 hours.  On the forecast track,
Harvey should be approaching the Texas coast late Friday or Friday
night.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next
48 hours, and Harvey could become a tropical storm later tonight or
Thursday and a hurricane Friday or Friday night.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter
is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 15 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches over the
Texas coast and southwest Louisiana through next Wednesday, with
heavy rainfall beginning Friday. During the same time period Harvey
is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 9 inches
along its outer radius including parts of south, central, and
eastern Texas and the lower Mississippi Valley. Rainfall from Harvey
may cause life-threatening flooding.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline.  The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Port Mansfield to High Island...4 to 6 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the northeast of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves.  Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and
can vary greatly over short distances.  For information specific to
your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area late Friday or Friday night, with tropical storm conditions
possible by Friday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Harvey are likely to affect the Texas,
Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts by Friday.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven



Tropical Storm Harvey Forecast Advisory Number 14-Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2017

000
WTNT24 KNHC 240236
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PORT MANSFIELD TO HIGH ISLAND

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO SAN LUIS PASS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOCA DE CATAN MEXICO TO PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
* NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS TO HIGH ISLAND

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA
THURSDAY MORNING.  IN ADDITION...INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  92.6W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  92.6W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N  92.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.8N  93.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 24.1N  94.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.4N  95.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 26.6N  96.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 28.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 28.5N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 28.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  92.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




Tropical Storm Harvey Forecast Discussion Number 14-Issued at 1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

000
WTNT44 KNHC 240238
TCDAT4

Tropical Depression Harvey Discussion Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1000 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft suggest
that Harvey's structure has consolidated a little bit, with the
pressure falling to 1002 mb and the radius of maximum winds
shrinking to 60 n mi.  However, there have been no reliable reports
of winds indicating that the cyclone has reached tropical-storm
strength, and the convective cloud pattern remains ragged. Based on
these data, the initial intensity is held at 30 kt. Perhaps the most
significant finding of the aircraft is that the center was to the
east of the previous advisory position.

The initial motion is a rather uncertain 325/2.  A weak mid-level
ridge to the northeast of Harvey should cause the cyclone to move
on a northwestward or north-northwestward track through 48-72 h,
and this motion should bring the center inland over southern Texas.
Later, steering currents weaken as a ridge builds over the
southwestern United States and a trough drops down from the Plains.
As a result, Harvey should decelerate while making landfall and
move very slowly just inland of the coast.  There is a major spread
amongst the large-scale models from 72-120 h, with the UKMET
forecasting a slow northward motion into eastern Texas, the GFS a
southwestward motion over Texas, and the ECMWF a cyclonic loop that
moves the system back over the Gulf of Mexico.  Given the
uncertainty, the new forecast track shows a slow motion over
southern Texas during that time, with a change from the small right
turn of the previous forecast to a small left turn.  Overall, the
track lies a little to the right of the consensus models through 72
h.

An upper-level low seen in water vapor imagery over the
northwestern Gulf of Mexico appears to be weakening, and as this
happens Harvey should end up in a low shear environment.  This
should allow strengthening over deep warm water in the western Gulf
of Mexico.  The new intensity forecast is adjusted slightly to show
Harvey explicitly becoming a hurricane in 48 h, and some additional
strengthening could occur between the 48 h point and landfall.
After landfall, Harvey is expected to weaken.  However, the
forecast track keeps the system close enough to the Texas coast
that this weakening is likely to be slower than normal.

Since Harvey has moved slower than anticipated during the past
6-12 h, warnings are not yet required for portions of the Texas
coast.  Warnings are likely to be issued sometime on Thursday.

Key Messages:

1. Harvey is likely to bring multiple hazards, including heavy
rainfall, storm surge, and possible hurricane conditions to portions
of the Texas coast beginning on Friday.

2. Heavy rainfall is likely to spread across portions of eastern
Texas, Louisiana, and the lower Mississippi Valley from Friday
through early next week and could cause life-threatening flooding.
Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service
office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information
on the flooding hazard.

3. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect from Port Mansfield to High
Island, Texas, indicating the possibility of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coast during the
next 48 hours.  For a depiction of areas at risk, see the Storm
Surge Watch/Warning Graphic at hurricanes.gov.

4. The Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map is available on the NHC
website.  This product depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario -
the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being
exceeded at each individual location.  Because the Flooding Map is
based on inputs that extend out only to about 72 hours, it best
represents the flooding potential in those locations within the
watch area.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  24/0300Z 21.9N  92.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  24/1200Z 22.8N  93.1W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  25/0000Z 24.1N  94.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  25/1200Z 25.4N  95.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 48H  26/0000Z 26.6N  96.3W   65 KT  75 MPH
 72H  27/0000Z 28.5N  97.5W   50 KT  60 MPH...INLAND
 96H  28/0000Z 28.5N  98.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...INLAND
120H  29/0000Z 28.0N  98.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND

$$
Forecaster Beven



Tropical Storm Harvey Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14-Issued at 0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2017

000
FONT14 KNHC 240237
PWSAT4
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017               
0300 UTC THU AUG 24 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   2(12)
 
BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 
MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)
 
ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)
 
LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   3(13)
 
NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   2(13)
 
GFMX 280N 930W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   5(23)   5(28)   5(33)
GFMX 280N 930W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)
 
FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   3(11)   2(13)
 
LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   7(13)   4(17)   4(21)
 
CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   6(15)   5(20)   5(25)
CAMERON LA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
JASPER TX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   4(16)   3(19)
 
KOUNTZE TX     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  10(17)   5(22)   4(26)
KOUNTZE TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   9(18)   6(24)   4(28)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)  15(32)   7(39)   5(44)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)
GALVESTON TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)  17(29)   6(35)   5(40)
HOUSTON TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
HOUSTON TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
AUSTIN TX      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  18(24)   7(31)   2(33)
AUSTIN TX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN ANTONIO TX 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  20(27)   6(33)   3(36)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
SAN ANTONIO TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  20(24)  18(42)   6(48)   4(52)
FREEPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   4(14)   2(16)
FREEPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
GFMX 280N 950W 34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  30(43)  10(53)   7(60)   4(64)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)   4(20)   4(24)
GFMX 280N 950W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
 
HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)  12(25)   6(31)   5(36)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  26(31)  19(50)   7(57)   3(60)
MATAGORDA TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)   3(20)   3(23)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  30(36)  21(57)   6(63)   2(65)
PORT O CONNOR  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  15(21)   4(25)   3(28)
PORT O CONNOR  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  31(37)  22(59)   3(62)   2(64)
ROCKPORT TX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  18(25)   2(27)   2(29)
ROCKPORT TX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
CORPUS CHRISTI 34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  29(34)  22(56)   3(59)   2(61)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   2(22)   1(23)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)
 
GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   1( 1)  25(26)  40(66)   8(74)   4(78)   2(80)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  25(27)  10(37)   4(41)   2(43)
GFMX 270N 960W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   1(15)   2(17)
 
MCALLEN TX     34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  21(28)  10(38)   3(41)   4(45)
MCALLEN TX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   2(10)
MCALLEN TX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
HARLINGEN TX   34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  29(41)  10(51)   2(53)   3(56)
HARLINGEN TX   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   7(16)   1(17)   2(19)
HARLINGEN TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)
 
BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   1( 1)  17(18)  29(47)   7(54)   2(56)   3(59)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   6(19)   1(20)   2(22)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)
 
GFMX 250N 960W 34  X   5( 5)  44(49)  13(62)   2(64)   2(66)   2(68)
GFMX 250N 960W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)  10(21)   2(23)   X(23)   2(25)
GFMX 250N 960W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
 
LA PESCA MX    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   7(21)
 
TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   4(10)
 
TUXPAN MX      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   4( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    


Tropical Storm Harvey Update Statement-Issued at 1100 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

000
WTNT64 KNHC 240403
TCUAT4

Tropical Storm Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092017
1100 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...

An Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft just measured
tropical storm force winds in Harvey. The maximum winds are
estimated to be 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM CDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 92.6W
ABOUT 500 MI...810 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM SE OF PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Avila/Zelinsky




Tropical Storm Harvey Graphics- Tropical Storm Harvey 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 24 Aug 2017 02:45:24 GMT

Tropical Storm Harvey 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 24 Aug 2017 03:25:39 GMT

Tropical Storm Harvey Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics- Tropical Storm Harvey Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Thu, 24 Aug 2017 03:17:38 GMT

Tropical Storm Harvey Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map- Tropical Storm Harvey Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Thu, 24 Aug 2017 03:34:25 GMT

Tropical Storm Harvey Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map- Tropical Storm Harvey Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Thu, 24 Aug 2017 02:48:36 GMT

Local Statement for Austin / San Antonio, TX-Issued at 1026 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

Local Statement for Houston / Galveston, TX-Issued at 1029 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

Local Statement for Corpus Christi, TX-Issued at 1037 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017

Local Statement for Brownsville, TX-Issued at 1106 PM CDT Wed Aug 23 2017
::
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