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The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a 1-5 rating based on the hurricane's present intensity. This is used to give an estimate of the potential property damage and flooding expected along the coast from a hurricane landfall. Wind speed is the determining factor in the scale, as storm surge values are highly dependent on the slope of the continental shelf in the landfall region. Note that all winds are using the U.S. 1-minute average.

CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE: Winds 74-95 mph (64-82 kt or 119-153 kph). Storm surge generally 4-5 feet above normal. No real damage to building structures. Damage primarily to unanchored mobile homes, shrubbery, and trees. Some damage to poorly constructed signs. Also, some coastal road flooding and minor pier damage. Hurricanes Allison of 1995 and Danny of 1997 were Category One hurricanes at peak intensity.

CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE: Winds 96-110 mph (83-95 kt or 154-177 kph). Storm surge generally 6-8 feet above normal. Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings. Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down. Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers. Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings. Hurricane Bonnie of 1998 was a Category Two hurricane when it hit the North Carolina coast, while Hurricane Georges of 1998 was a Category Two Hurricane when it hit the Florida Keys and the Mississippi Gulf Coast.

CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE: Winds 111-130 mph (96-113 kt or 178-209 kph). Storm surge generally 9-12 feet above normal. Some structural damage to small residences and utility buildings with a minor amount of curtainwall failures. Damage to shrubbery and trees with foliage blown off trees and large tress blown down. Mobile homes and poorly constructed signs are destroyed. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Flooding near the coast destroys smaller structures with larger structures damaged by battering of floating debris. Terrain continuously lower than 5 feet above mean sea level may be flooded inland 8 miles (13 km) or more. Evacuation of low-lying residences with several blocks of the shoreline may be required. Hurricanes Roxanne of 1995 and Fran of 1996 were Category Three hurricanes at landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and in North Carolina, respectively.

CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE: Winds 131-155 mph (114-135 kt or 210-249 kph). Storm surge generally 13-18 feet above normal. More extensive curtainwall failures with some complete roof structure failures on small residences. Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded requiring massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10 km). Hurricane Luis of 1995 was a Category Four hurricane while moving over the Leeward Islands. Hurricanes Felix and Opal of 1995 also reached Category Four status at peak intensity.

CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE: Winds greater than 155 mph (135 kt or 249 kph). Storm surge generally greater than 18 feet above normal. Complete roof failure on many residences and industrial buildings. Some complete building failures with small utility buildings blown over or away. All shrubs, trees, and signs blown down. Complete destruction of mobile homes. Severe and extensive window and door damage. Low-lying escape routes are cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the hurricane center. Major damage to lower floors of all structures located less than 15 feet above sea level and within 500 yards of the shoreline. Massive evacuation of residential areas on low ground within 5-10 miles (8-16 km) of the shoreline may be required. Hurricane Mitch of 1998 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity over the western Caribbean. Hurricane Gilbert of 1988 was a Category Five hurricane at peak intensity and is the strongest Atlantic tropical cyclone of record.

Quoted from the National Hurricane Center , Tropical Prediction Center.

All hurricanes are dangerous, but some are more so than others. The way storm surge, wind, and other factors combine determines the hurricane's destructive power. To make comparisons easier, and to make the predicted hazards of approaching hurricanes clearer, NOAA's hurricane forecasters use a disaster-potential scale, which assigns storms to five categories. Category 1 is a minimum hurricane and category 5 is the worst case. The criteria for each category are shown below.


CATE-   CENTRAL PRESSURE        WINDS      SURGE     EXAMPLE
GORY   (milli-   (inches)       (mph)      (ft)   DAMAGE    STORM
        bars)

1      980 or    less than      74-95      4-5    minimal   Agnes 1972, Ismael 1995, 
       greater   or = 28.94                                 Danny 1997, Gaston 2004, 
                                                            Stan 2005

2      965-979   28.50-28.91    96-110     6-8    moderate  Kate 1965, Fifi 1974, 
                                                            Diana 1990, Erin 1995,
                                                            Juan 2003, Wilma 2005

3      945-964   27.91-28.47    111-130    9-12   extensive Elena 1985, Alicia 1983
                                                            Roxanne 1995, Fran 1996,
                                                            Isidore 2002, Jeanne 2004

4      920-944   27.17-27.88    131-155    13-18  extreme   "Galveston" 1990, 
                                                            Hazel 1954, Iniki 1992, 
                                                            Hugo 1989, Iris 2001,
                                                            Charley 2004

5      less        less          more      more   cata-     "LABOR DAY
       than        than          than      than   strophic  STORM" 1935, Luis 1995,
       920         27.17         155       18               Gilbert 1988, Andrew 1992
                                                          
	   


Hurricane & Tropical Storm

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Advisory


National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Hurricane EARL Public Advisory Number 38A-Issued at 800 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010

Hurricane EARL Forecast/Advisory Number 38-Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010

Hurricane EARL Forecast Discussion Number 38-Issued at 500 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2010

Hurricane EARL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 38-Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010

Hurricane EARL Graphics- Hurricane EARL 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 23:45:26 GMT

Hurricane EARL 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:09:32 GMT

Hurricane EARL Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics- Hurricane EARL Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics Image
Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:52:28 GMT

Hurricane Local Statement for Portland, ME-Issued at 856 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane Local Statement for Boston, MA-Issued at 849 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane Local Statement for New York City, NY-Issued at 816 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane Local Statement for Philadelphia, PA-Issued at 522 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane Local Statement for Caribou, ME-Issued at 508 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane Local Statement for Wakefield, VA-Issued at 457 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane Local Statement for Newport/Morehead City, NC-Issued at 214 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

Hurricane EARL 5-Day Track, Uncertainty Cone, Warnings (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 23:44:38 GMT

Hurricane EARL Best Track Information (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:39:14 GMT

Hurricane EARL Best Track Information (.kmz)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:39:14 GMT

Hurricane EARL Forecast Information (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:39:16 GMT

Hurricane EARL Wind Speed Probabilities - 0.5 Degree Multiple Basins (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:10:03 GMT

Hurricane EARL Wind Speed Probabilities - 0.1 Degree Multiple Basins (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:10:10 GMT

Hurricane EARL Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:52:59 GMT

Hurricane EARL Probabilistic Storm Surge Graphics (.kmz)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:53:36 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA Public Advisory Number 17A-Issued at 800 PM AST FRI SEP 03 2010

Tropical Depression FIONA Forecast/Advisory Number 17-Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010

Tropical Depression FIONA Forecast Discussion Number 17-Issued at 500 PM AST FRI SEP 03 2010

Tropical Depression FIONA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17-Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010

Tropical Depression FIONA Graphics- Tropical Depression FIONA 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 23:55:24 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:09:59 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA 5-Day Track, Uncertainty Cone, Warnings (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 23:54:39 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA Best Track Information (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:33:56 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA Best Track Information (.kmz)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:33:56 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA Forecast Information (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 20:33:56 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA Wind Speed Probabilities - 0.5 Degree Multiple Basins (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:10:03 GMT

Tropical Depression FIONA Wind Speed Probabilities - 0.1 Degree Multiple Basins (.shp)-GIS Data last updated Fri, 03 Sep 2010 21:10:10 GMT

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 032353
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 3 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET
MASSACHUSETTS...AND ON RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION
FIONA...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
REMNANT LOW OF GASTON...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE
...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
HAVE CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN


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The hurricane and tropical cyclone information displayed here is based on the latest NOAA, NHC, NASA and other official reports received here and may or may not be the most current forecast available from these official forecasting agencies. We attempt to keep everything current, but remember to use this as a supplement to official sources. This information is for the general public's viewing, but Hurricane.com is not responsible for its ultimate use in the forecasting of tropical cyclones and/or the use of public watches/warnings. Customers should confirm these prognostications with official sources (see our links section) and follow local recommendations. Our advice is to always plan for the worst and get out of the way of a storm! Use of this site constitutes acceptance of these terms. One should always rely on OFFICIAL SOURCES. Email can be delayed or not delivered, servers may not be available 24 hours per day, seven days a week. Official forecasts are available via NOAA Weather Radio, NOAA Weather Wire, NOAAPORT, your local National Weather Service office and more. Use of information is at your own risk and can not be guaranteed.Please note that data and material from the National Hurricane Center and the NOAA is not subject to copyright.