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Atlantic Hurricane Outlook & Discussion

ABNT20 KNHC 302336

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Fri Nov 30 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season.  Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on June 1, 2019.  During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.

Forecaster Beven

AXNT20 KNHC 231146

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
646 AM EST Wed Jan 23 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
1115 UTC.


...Gale Warning in the Gulf of Mexico...

A recent scatterometer pass detected gale-force winds over the 
eastern Gulf from 26N-27.5N between 85W-87W overnight. These 
conditions will continue through the morning hours. A cold front 
is entering the northwest Gulf as of 09Z. Gale-force NW to N 
winds are expected behind the front over the waters from Texas to 
Veracruz, mainly W of 93W. These winds will follow the front 
through the next 24 hours. For additional information, please read
the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers 

...Gale Warning in the South-Central Caribbean...

Strong high pressure north of the area will maintain strong NE 
winds over much of the Caribbean through mid week, with gale-force
winds expected near the coast of Colombia each night through at 
least tonight. For additional information, please read the High 
Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 

...Gale Warnings in the SW N Atlantic...

A cold front will move off the Florida coast into the SW N 
Atlantic on Thu. SW gale-force winds are forecast on Thu morning 
ahead of the front N of 29N and W of 74W with seas 10 to 16 feet. 
These winds will continue east of the front as it moves east 
across the Atlantic through Fri. For additional information, 
please read the High Seas Forecast product under the AWIPS/WMO 
headers HSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC.

...Gale Winds Expected Near the Coast of Morocco...

Meteo France is forecasting gale-force winds today near the coast
of Morocco in the marine zone called AGADIR. The Meteo France 
outlook for Thu calls for the possibility of gales in AGADIR. For 
additional information, please visit the Meteo France website at meteo- 


The monsoon trough emerges from the coast of Liberia near 05N09W 
and extends to 03N15W. The ITCZ continues from that point to the 
coast of Brazil near 02S43W. Scattered moderate convection is 
north of the ITCZ from 00N-05N between 25W-48W.


A 1038 mb surface high centered over the northeast Atlantic 
extends a ridge southward over the Southeast U.S. into the eastern
Gulf of Mexico. A strengthening low pressure system is over the 
south-central U.S. The pressure gradient generated between the 
high and low pressure systems is currently inducing strong to
gale-force winds over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Refer to the 
section above for information about the Gale Warning in effect 
and the warnings in the forecast for today.

The cold front will continue moving off the Texas coast this
morning. Showers are thunderstorms are likely over the Gulf of 
Mexico prior to and along with the frontal passage. NW-N gale 
winds are expected over the western Gulf of Mexico today behind 
the front. Winds and seas will diminish across the Gulf by Thu as
the front moves southeast of the region. Another cold front will 
move off the Texas coast by late Sat.


Typical scattered trade winds showers are noted across the basin.  
Strong high pressure north of the area is inducing widespread 
fresh to strong trade winds over most of the Caribbean. Expect 
for these winds to prevail through Thu, with gale-force winds 
pulsing overnight off of the Colombia's coast. See the section 
above for more information about the Gale Warning currently in 
effect. Expect seas well over 8 feet for large portions of the 
Caribbean, highest from 10N-16N between 74W-80W, where 10-15 ft 
seas are expected. Farther east, large NW swell will move into 
Atlantic waters off the Leeward Islands by tonight. Winds and 
seas will diminish late in the week as the high pressure shifts 
east ahead of another cold front. This front is expected to move 
into the northwest Caribbean by late Thu, and will stall and 
dissipate from central Cuba to central Honduras by late Fri. 


Surface ridge prevails across the west Atlantic. To the east, a 
cold front extends from 32N48W to 24N55W to 21N65W. It continues 
as a stationary front from 21N65W to 21N75W. A surface trough is 
just east of the front from 25N50W to 22N57W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted E of the front, mainly N of 26N between 43W- 
47W. Surface ridging prevails across the eastern Atlantic.

The cold front over the central Atlantic will weaken today. High 
pressure building in the wake of the front will prevail through 
the day before retreating eastward ahead of the next cold front 
moving off the coast of Florida by early Thu. Gale-force winds 
will prevail N of 29N ahead of the front on Thu. See the section 
above for more details. The front will stall and weaken from 
Bermuda to eastern Cuba by Sat. Low pressure may develop along the
front Sat near the northern Bahamas and move northeast. 

For additional information please visit




Hurricane & Tropical Storm


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.-The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
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