Hurricane



 

160 x 600  
 
 
 
 

Atlantic Hurricane Outlook & Discussion

	Expires:No;;529988
ABNT20 KNHC 232311
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized cloudiness and showers located over the northwestern
Gulf of Mexico are associated with a frontal boundary.  A
non-tropical low could form along this boundary late Wednesday or
Thursday, and environmental conditions could support some
subtropical or tropical development late this week while the
disturbance meanders near the northern Gulf Coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Expires:No;;531332
AXNT20 KNHC 232351
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
751 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2345 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An Atlantic tropical wave extends along 25W from 18N southward, 
moving W at 10 kt. This wave is well depicted in model guidance 
and satellite imagery. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection prevails south of 09N between 22W-28W. 

A central Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 45W from
02N-21N, moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are south of 
13N between 45W-48W.

A central Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 53W from
18W southward, moving west at 15-20 kt. This wave is embedded 
within the middle of a strong outbreak of Saharan dust, therefore 
no convection is present at this time.

An eastern Caribbean tropical wave with axis along 68W from 19N
southward, moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are noted 
inland over Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Venezuela. 

A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W south of 19N, 
moving W at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is over Jamaica and Panama.  Scattered moderate to 
isolated strong convection is from 17N-19N between 78W-79W and 
from 09N-10N between 77W-82W. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 14N17W 
to 10N34W. The ITCZ extends from 10N34W to 08N45W, then resumes 
west of a tropical wave near 08N48W to 08N53W. Aside from the 
showers mentioned in the tropical wave section above, scattered 
showers are noted along the monsoon trough from 06N-12N between
53W-23W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

Weak surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored over the
west Atlantic. A stationary front extends from a 1007 mb low in 
the southeast coast to the northwest coast of Texas entering the 
Gulf waters from 29N92W to 27N97W. A surface trough is located 150
nm ahead of the front from 27N90W to 25N95W. Scattered moderate 
strong convection is noted along the frontal boundary and the
trough covering the northern Gulf coast. The convection extends 
from 25N-30N between the Florida Panhandle to the coast of
Louisiana to the South Texas, W of 84W. Two other troughs are 
noted, one west of the Yucatan Peninsula from 20N91W to 18N93W, 
and a second trough near the Mexican coast from 23N97W to 19N95W. 
Scattered moderate convection is developing along the troughs. 
Aside from the convection gusty winds, gentle to moderate winds 
prevail across the basin.

A weak front will move into the northern Gulf of Mexico through 
Wed, with moderate to fresh N to NE winds prevailing behind the 
front. The front will stall from the Florida Big Bend to S Texas 
on Wed night, then dissipate through Thu. Weak high pressure will 
build over the NE Gulf Fri and Sat. A surface trough will move off
the Yucatan Peninsula each night, supporting fresh to occasionally
strong winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Two tropical waves are over the basin. Refer to the section above
for details.

Scattered moderate isolated strong convection prevails across the
Greater Antilles. In the south-central Caribbean scattered showers
are present in the vicinity of the monsoon trough south of 13N 
between 71W-76W. This activity is also affecting portions of 
Central America. Scatterometer data depicts moderate to fresh 
trades across the basin, with highest winds over the south central
Caribbean.

High pressure north of the area will maintain fresh to strong 
trade winds in the south-central Caribbean through Sat, becoming 
near gale force along the coast of Colombia and over the Gulf of 
Venezuela at night. Strong winds will develop south of Hispaniola 
beginning on Thu as high pressure strengthens. A tropical wave 
will cross the Windward Islands late Wed night and move over the 
eastern Caribbean on Thu, with fresh to strong winds east of the 
wave axis. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please refer to the section above for more information on the 
two tropical waves over the Atlantic. 

Surface ridge extends along 29N covering the basin, anchored by a
1024 mb high near 28N34W and another high centered near 30N57W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are developing west of 62W 
across the northern Bahamas and the coast of Florida and from 
31N to 21N. A weak 1014 mb surface low is centered near 29N78W.
Scattered moderate convection extends 100 nm out from the low
center. 

High pres along 28N/29N will shift southward Wed. This will 
enable a cold front to move into the NW waters Thu. The front 
will become stationary Thu night, then gradually weaken over 
the NW portion Fri and Sat.
 
For additional information please visit 
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
MTorres


	

Hurricane & Tropical Storm

Advisory


NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook-
000
ABNT20 KNHC 232311
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 23 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized cloudiness and showers located over the northwestern
Gulf of Mexico are associated with a frontal boundary. A
non-tropical low could form along this boundary late Wednesday or
Thursday, and environmental conditions could support some
subtropical or tropical development late this week while the
disturbance meanders near the northern Gulf Coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.-No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 24 Jul 2019 00:10:10 GMT
::
About Us | Site Map | Privacy | Contact form | Hurricane.com & Phonebook.com Inc

Copyright �


The hurricane and tropical cyclone information displayed here is based on the latest NOAA, NHC, NASA and other official reports received here and may or may not be the most current forecast available from these official forecasting agencies. We attempt to keep everything current, but remember to use this as a supplement to official sources. This information is for the general public's viewing, but Hurricane.com is not responsible for its ultimate use in the forecasting of tropical cyclones and/or the use of public watches/warnings. Customers should confirm these prognostications with official sources (see our links section) and follow local recommendations. Our advice is to always plan for the worst and get out of the way of a storm! Use of this site constitutes acceptance of these terms. One should always rely on OFFICIAL SOURCES. Email can be delayed or not delivered, servers may not be available 24 hours per day, seven days a week. Official forecasts are available via NOAA Weather Radio, NOAA Weather Wire, NOAAPORT, your local National Weather Service office and more. Use of information is at your own risk and can not be guaranteed.Please note that data and material from the National Hurricane Center and the NOAA is not subject to copyright.